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If the Senate is split 50-50, Republicans maintain majority control because Vice President Mike Pence has the tiebreaking vote. This analysis treats independent Sens. Bernie Sanders and Angus King as Democrats because they caucus with that party.
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# Our forecast for every Senate seat
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Young thug album download free. The chance of winning for each candidate in the 35 Senate elections taking place in 2018, as well as the controlling party for the 65 seats not on the ballot this cycle.
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The balance of power
The state of every state
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# How much each race matters
Two measures help capture how important a state and its voters will be in determining which party controls the next Senate: “Tipping-point chance” is the probability that a race will decide whether the Democrats or Republicans are in the majority. “Voter power index” is the relative likelihood that an individual voter in a state will determine the majority party.
How this forecast works
Nate Silver explains the methodology behind our 2018 midterm forecasts. Read more …
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